President Obama announced $3.4 billion in awards yesterday for organizations around the country planning investments in smart grid technology. Despite all the noise surrounding this wonderful technology, I do have a question about just who is really going to benefit from its implementation.
Of course, I get the idea that smart grid technology will enable utilities to get real time information about the electrical demands being placed on their systems, giving them the ability to identify outages and other system breakdowns, confront consumers that are stealing power from the grid (I heard the other day that BC Hydro reckons it could get a payback JUST from the elimination of power theft in < 2 years on the investment required to equip its entire 1.2 million customers with smart metering technology), and, in general, manage their operations more efficiently. That's great: I'm a capitalist and fully supportive of the idea that investments in technology can greatly improve operating earnings.
However, despite the rhetoric, I'm much less clear about how the implementation of this technology will address the key sustainability issue facing us in the energy arena: reducing overall demand. Perhaps the utilities will indeed take steps to cycle off our air conditioners and/or heating systems in times of peak demand, but the idea that consumers will use smart metering devices to do things like program their dishwasher to run at 4 AM when power is cheap is a little optimistic (you can do this now with a $10 timer from Home Depot IF your power is in fact cheaper at 4 AM!). My doubts arise from the facts that most of us (1) could never learn how to program a VCR in the 90s, (2) can't even manage the simple stuff like turning out lights and electronic appliances when we don't need them and (3) would far rather sit in traffic wasting energy in our own car than take a bus or light rail to work.
So while smart grid is really smart for the utilities, I don't think we can rely on drastic changes in our behavior using this technology to move the needle on energy demand in the American economy. Maybe all those shysters currently stealing electricity from the utilities will stop using it once smart metering exposes them and they have to pay for it!!